Guest Post from Right over Labour
The details of the Gun Buy Back were released on 20 June 2019. Predictably, they fall short of an ideal situation in that the compensation is not financially attractive. No firearm will be compensated for at 100% of its value, and there is a vagueness as to how the various categories of condition are going to be applied poor condition (25 per cent of the base price), average condition (70 per cent of the base price), and new or near-new condition (95 per cent of the base price). https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12242128
Further, the legislation has been drafted in haste and a whole range of anomalies have arisen. (https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/392181/politicians-mistakenly-agreed-to-ban-magazines-for-all-firearms )
Business will not be compensated for losses that have occurred because of this legislation.
Financially, none of this has been well thought out and the government’s estimates of the total cost are far lower than those involved in the firearm industry.
Will the Gun Buy back actually achieve anything? New Zealand does not have a high crime rate with respect to guns and most shootings are gang related. https://thehill.com/opinion/civil-rights/435110-new-zealand-gun-ban-is-not-the-answer-to-stop-mass-shootings
There is still debate on the effectiveness or impact of the Australian buyback in terms of gun related deaths or how many were not handed in. Gun deaths were dropping before the buy backs, probably a third of the firearms were not handed in, and Australia now has more firearms than before the Massacre.
There is a willing and well established Black Market that will benefit from the Government’s ineptitude in this matter. Gun owners have three choices. Do nothing and bury the weapon hoping that a future government will introduce better legislation, (HDPA’s Bury in the Back Yard scenario), hand in the weapon and hope for fair compensation, or sell to the highest bidder. The gangs have cash and are keen to boost their arsenals. The Government may just have boosted their chances of a firearm windfall. As no one knows how many firearms are actually out there, and there is no tracing of private weapon sales, there is virtually nothing the police can do to counter this. If I owned a banned firearm, I know which of the above choices I would not be considering. I suspect many of the 200,000 or so firearm owners may be thinking similar thoughts.