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In 1972, a Stanford psychologist gave 4-year-olds a choice.
“One marshmallow now or wait 15 minutes and get two.”
Rich kid waits. Poor kid eats it immediately.
For 50 years, psychologists said this proved poor kids lack self-control.
Wrong.
Poor kids learned that promises get broken. The second marshmallow isn’t coming.
Professor Jiang Xueqin spent 50 minutes explaining why the poor kids are the rational ones:
The psychologist was named Walter Mischel. He put a marshmallow in front of 4-year-olds and said: “You can have it now, or wait and get two.”
He tracked them for decades. The kids who waited did better at everything.
His conclusion: success means delayed gratification. Long-term planning. Self-control.
So educators built curricula around it. Teach kids self-control, resilience, self-assessment. They’ll succeed.
It didn’t work.
“If you take a bad student and teach him self-control, resilience, and self-assessment, the student doesn’t actually get better.”
The reason is simple: correlation does not equal causation.
Successful people wake up at 4am. But waking up at 4am won’t make you successful.
If you’re successful, you wake up early because you’re motivated. If you’re successful, you have self-control because your environment rewards it.
The traits don’t cause success. Success causes the traits.
Here’s what actually determines success:
“We know for a fact that rich people are much more likely to succeed than poor people. School doesn’t really matter. If your parents are rich, you’ll be successful. If your parents are poor, you will not.”
The difference starts with parenting.
A rich kid touches a hot stove. The parent says: “You made a mistake. Don’t worry about it. Let me explain why fire is dangerous. You could burn yourself. We’d have to go to the doctor.”
A poor kid touches a hot stove. The parent says: “Don’t you ever do that again or I’ll beat the crap out of you.”
Same lesson. Completely different worldview.
The rich kid learns: the world is safe. I am respected. Adults explain things to me.
The poor kid learns: the world is scary. I must fear authority. Don’t ask questions.
There’s another difference. Rich parents keep promises. Poor parents can’t.
“Next week we’ll go to Thailand.” Next week, you go to Thailand.
“Next week we’ll go to McDonald’s.” But the paycheck isn’t enough. “Sorry, we can’t go anymore.”
Rich parents offer stability. Poor parents can only offer volatility.
Now go back to the marshmallow test.
“If you believe the teacher will keep his promise, you won’t eat that marshmallow. If you think the teacher is lying, you will eat it.”
If you’re a poor kid, you’ve learned that promises get broken. Adults lie. The second marshmallow probably isn’t coming.
So you eat the first one. That’s not lack of self-control. That’s rational decision-making.
“Poor kids are not stupid. Poor kids are rational. They’re responding to the circumstances they live in.”
The same logic applies to resilience.
“The idea of resilience is that you believe the world will help you. If you’re rich and you fail, someone will help you get up. If you’re poor and you fail, that probably tells you that you shouldn’t be doing this.”
Why try again when trying again has never worked?
And self-assessment? “If you’re a poor child who lives under a lot of stress, it’s hard to be self-reflective. Because if you look back at yourself, all you think about is your pain and your stress.”
Here’s the deeper structure.
“As a poor person, if you want to survive, you have to obey authority. As a rich person, you maximize your outcome by negotiating with others.”
Poor parents command their children because that’s what the world will demand. Obey the police. Obey the boss. Don’t talk back.
Rich parents teach their children to debate, argue, negotiate. Because that’s their game.
“From day one, rich kids know they’re playing a different game.”
Here’s something stranger.
500 students took an IQ test. Then they guessed their ranking.
The top 5% thought they were top 20%. The test was easy for them, so they assumed it was easy for everyone.
The bottom 5% thought they were average.
“People who are stupid lack the capacity to know they’re stupid.”
This is the Dunning-Kruger effect. And it explains why the most confident people are often the least competent.
“This helps explain why the world is why it is. Often the people in power are stupid. They don’t know they’re stupid. They were confident.”
Can poor kids escape?
“Yes. But it means leaving your community. You have to be extremely individualistic. Very ambitious. High risk tolerance. Most people don’t have that.”
The professor is one of them.
“I’m a poor kid who succeeded. My father was a dishwasher. But I left Canada for the United States. I got lucky.”
“You can work as hard as you want, but the chances are against you. It takes luck. And that’s often the exception to the rule, not the rule itself.”
Here’s what he wants you to understand:
When we see differences in success, our default explanation is differences in ability or effort.
We forget that a poor kid eating the marshmallow isn’t weak. He’s learned that waiting doesn’t pay.
We forget that a poor kid giving up isn’t lazy. He’s learned that no one’s coming to help.
We refuse to admit that the traits we associate with success are products of environment, not causes of it.
The marshmallow test is about measuring childhood, not measuring character.
i wouldnt have eaten it due to any of the above reasons.
i wouldve eaten it cuz im an impatient cunt and i love marshmallows. i wouldve then attempted to guilt a second marshmallow, if that failed i wouldve tried to find the bag and eat the lot.
human nature is highly variable, the above experiment groups into broad groups when really theres probs 500 different groups kids could be split into for that one single experiment.
Did they ever follow up by breaking their promise to give two marshmallows for waiting, then repeating the test?
“Four years ago in 2022, a full year before the last election, we ruled out working with the Labour Party.
We did that because the left are full of woke self confessed communists who would turn our country into a basket case.
Nothing has changed. In fact they are even worse. No, we won’t do a deal with Labour or their Marxist and separatist mates.
It is astounding the amount of time this has been spent living rent free in some people’s heads – including media who keep asking the same stupid question that I have already answered multiple times.
Anyone who says anything otherwise is ‘mischief making’ and ‘scaremongering’ who need to start focussing on things that kiwis care about most instead of personal petty rekons.”
Winston Peters Facebood 22-April-2026
Don’t see how he can wriggle out of that.
Winston’s time of decades in politics & experience & finally now figuring out the “Labour or their Marxist and separatist mates.” in 2026.
Did Winston just come down in the last shower?
Voting NZFirst and more than likely, they will be chosing the next government.
Ok cherry picked quotes from Winston Peters 2017 election campaign speeches.
.
September 27, 2017
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/97281948/winstons-little-black-book
Later at the time, in particular why did not NZ First, Winston & Shane go along with Arderns killing of the gas & oil exploration along with Helen Clark’s benign peaceful zone era, so remove the Emission Zero Carbon exemptions on Marsden Point ?
What was in the small print of their Coalition Agreement?
Vote it down, relinquish ministerial positions, then go onto the side benches, to support Labour on the budget, but all other legislation step by step whether to support or not!
Too much work?, No baubles?
Then all the balls would be in Ardern’s court whether to call a snap election??
Why go along with the Cabinet on bringing about the He Puapua to be in compliance with the UN Declaration of Rights of Indigenous Peoples.
One does not have to look far in ones travels to notice what is happening in Australia, Canada & even the USA with the revising “treaties”
Was it because Winston Peters feared that he would become a “no-where man”, ? to be out as in 2020, but finding some acclaim at the 2022 Wellington Protest, to build on.
I do know for a fact that Shane Jones was not happy about the oil and gas at all, but I just watched the clip where the ban was announced, and although he looks like he wishes a hole could swallow him up, he then delivers a spiel about needing to be prepared for the future, blah blah.
Yes, I wish NZF had ditched their agreement. They were definitely taken for chumps by Labour – which is why Winston is so vehement about not considering them now.
Winston doesn’t need to wriggle out of anything. The illusion that Winston will go with Labour has all been created by the media, and you fell for it.
In 2017, Ardern was the new Kid on the block, and she told Winston a pack of plausible lies. Lies she also told voters to get elected in 2017, and re-elected.in 2020, and lies that she told to get the bulk of the country rolling up their sleeves to get injected with an unknown substance.
Ardern made verbal promises to Winston that she would sweep clean with a new broom and the likes of Little were gone. It was all a lie, as Little was no longer visible but was there pulling the strings.
Just like Canada. People believe that with Trudeau gone, Canada is saved, and that Carney is sweeping clean. Another situation of “out of the frying pan into the fire”. Carney is a WEF heavyweight.
FJA
This will be his last chance to be crowned PM for the whole term. If liarbour offered him the top job, do you think he would take it?
If Labour were truly that desperate, then NZF would hold all the cards anyway, and all parties involved would know that.
But if the Greens had to be involved – no chance.
Editor
Would he take it? Unfortunately, the answer is probably ‘Yes’, because despite his protests to the contrary, public accolade and ‘The baubles of office’ have always tended to be an influence in the life of Peters, W.
I could of course be wrong…
You are wrong. Winston, like with most of us, the events of the last 7 7years have changed most people. Death by injection of your mates and relatives has a way of focusing one’s attention and priorities.
You know what, I don’t think he would. I suspect he won’t want his legacy to be that of a traitor. But that’s just my POV.
Checkmate!
https://x.com/TheHughAnthony/status/2047351873217134709
This is very interesting after 10 minutes. Michael thinks Luxon may have given Hosking the 5 names.
Michael Laws Breaks Down Luxon’s Leadership & His Real Ongoing Problem
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XENd91__2fE
Use of a.i has a good side
Elon Musk just described the most sophisticated theft operation in American history.
Not a heist. A system.
Your tax dollars leave Washington.
They enter a non-governmental organization. The government. With different letterhead.
Musk: “Obviously if it’s a government-funded non-governmental organization, it’s just the government.”
They cross a border.
American law stops following them.
They pass through three more entities in three more countries.
They come home.
Different pocket. Clean hands. Perfect crime.
Musk: “The government can send money to an NGO that is then no longer governed by the laws of the United States.”
Now run the math.
Congressional salary. $200,000.
Average net worth of a longtime member of Congress. North of $20 million.
Musk: “There are a lot of strangely wealthy members of Congress. I just can’t connect the dots of how they got $20 million earning $200,000 a year. Nobody can explain that.”
Nobody is supposed to.
This machine ran untouched for decades for one reason. Human limitation.
A forensic team cannot trace ten thousand wire transfers across fifty global jurisdictions at once.
The corruption does not hide in darkness.
It hides in volume.
They built a labyrinth so deliberately complex that the sheer weight of it collapses every investigation before it starts.
Paper buries paper. Bureaucracy absorbs inquiry.
The entire architecture was engineered to exhaust you.
Then artificial intelligence arrived.
AI does not get tired.
It cannot be bought.
It does not lose the thread at wire transfer 4,000.
You give it the entire global ledger. It maps every node, every transfer, every shell entity, every offshore NGO across every jurisdiction. Not in weeks. In hours.
It finds the signal inside the noise.
It flags the pattern.
It traces a dollar from a D.C. appropriation to a Cayman shell to a congressional portfolio in the time it takes a human auditor to find his parking spot.
The labyrinth was built to defeat human eyes.
It is defenseless against a machine that reads the entire maze at once.
This is why the establishment is not just annoyed by DOGE.
They are terrified.
Musk: “We’re going to try to figure it out and stop it.”
He did not arrive in Washington to trim budgets.
He arrived with supercomputing, AI audit systems, and a mandate to map the full financial architecture of the federal government.
For the first time in history, the complexity that protected the corruption is the very thing that will expose it.
Every shell entity is a signature.
Every routing pattern is a fingerprint.
Every congressman who walked in earning $200,000 and walked out worth $20 million is now a variable in an equation that will be solved.
The swamp was never impenetrable.
It was just too big for human hands.
It was never built for this.
American Politics-
Fake net worth. Fake bestseller. Fake racial crisis.
Three stories caught our attention this week which show just how much of politics is pure manipulation.
Representative Ilhan Omar quietly amended her 2025 financial disclosure last week, revising her household assets from a range of $6 to $30 million, down to a range of $18,004 to $95,000, and blamed her husband’s accountant.
Apparently it was just an ‘accounting oversight’. I’m not entirely sure how someone who claims to have almost no net worth would sign off on a financial disclosure indicating up to $30 million in equity.
She’s either lying, or financially illiterate. I’m betting on the former. But even if she’s telling the truth, it’s pretty scary that such a financial dullard is in charge of taxpayer funds.
It’s also worth pondering how someone who entered Congress with a negative net worth and no assets, and now earns $174,000 a year, become a multi-millionaire in under a decade.
Omar uses the Nancy Pelosi defense: it’s my husband’s money.
How did her husband make that money?
For starters, his consulting firm collected nearly $3 million from Omar’s own campaign between 2018 and 2020. That was half of her total campaign expenditures, funneled into the couple’s own pockets.
Of course, her district does include the area of Minneapolis inundated with Somali welfare fraudsters. So maybe her voters see this as an inspiring tale of the new American dream to bilk your neighbors for all they are worth.
California Governor Gavin Newsom ran the same play in a more expensive suit.
His political action committee, the Campaign for Democracy, spent more than $1.5 million of donors’ money on 67,000 copies of his own memoir, which was two-thirds of every copy sold.
That’s how to use donor funds to not only manufacture a New York Times bestseller that can launch your presidential bid, but also funnel campaign contributions back into your own pocket.
This is California in miniature. The state funnels roughly $100 billion in federal grants into DEI programs, homelessness nonprofits that burned through $24 billion with no measurable reduction in homelessness, and progressive advocacy groups that recycle political support back to the same politicians who voted the funding.
At least on the personal level, Newsom is screwing his own supporters. As governor, he’s screwing the taxpayers.
But the third example is actually the most grotesque of the three.
The Southern Poverty Law Center is a civil rights nonprofit founded in 1971 that made its name suing the Ku Klux Klan into bankruptcy in the 1980s, and spent the decades since building itself into the country’s self-appointed referee on who counts as a “hate group.”
The DOJ indicted the organization this week on 11 counts of wire fraud, bank fraud, and money laundering for paying over $3 million between 2014 and 2023 to informants inside the KKK, Aryan Nations, and the National Socialist Party of America.
The indictment alleges the SPLC used shell accounts with names like “Fox Photography” and “Rare Books Warehouse” to move donor money to the very groups it was publicly warning the country about.
One of those informants, known in the indictment as F-37, helped plan the 2017 Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville and attended at the SPLC’s direction.
SPLC donations surged after that rally. The civil rights group was paying the hate groups to produce the hate, then raised money to fight the hate that they were manufacturing.
An organization that built its reputation labeling ordinary conservatives as “hate groups” got caught paying the actual hate groups to help stage the events that justified its own fundraising.
This is like Jussie Smollett on steroids.
It does make you wonder about those masked ‘Nazis’ who keep materializing in random American cities for a weekend of choreographed menace and then vanish.
The decade-long moral panic over “white supremacy” that deplatformed, defunded, and fired so many Americans, and the entire industry of consultants, diversity officers, HR commissars, and legacy journalists whose salaries depended on the threat being real…
Is any of it real?
Or are we just being managed, taxed, pitched, and outraged on cue, so a small class of operators can keep destroying Western civilization for a couple million in kickbacks?
Leftard “Love”. The result of demorat crime policies
https://rumble.com/v78wq30-man-body-slams-girl-and-stomps-her-head-after-she-didnt-give-number.html?e9s=rel_v3_rs
Man Body Slams Girl & Stomps her head After She Didn’t Give Number
TheSaltyCracker
ANZAC Day, our National Day
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0vpYw1zCDw
Forget Waitangi Day: Let’s Make Anzac Day NZ’s True National Day
Michael Laws
More bullshit by the UN for ethnic enhancement
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pRVSJexw9LY
Former Judge David Harvey On The False ‘Doctrine of Discovery’
An absolute disgrace tbat a) the Human Rights Commission would ever generate a document on that, b) that they would knowingly or unknowingly (methinks the former), include false information and c) that having had the false information pointed out to them, failed to remove the document or amend it.
Commie filth.
This just makes me laugh….
“A sick grid! In the rush to electrify Victoria, voltage falls too low for EV Chargers, microwaves and cooktops”
https://www.joannenova.com.au/2026/04/a-sick-grid-in-the-rush-to-electrify-victoria-voltage-is-now-too-low-for-ev-chargers-microwaves-and-cooktops/
Idiots.
Nothing to do with climatology but a good article on Hormuz and its effect on critical minerals.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2026/04/23/americas-ai-advantage-runs-into-trouble-in-the-strait-of-hormuz/
ha, luxtard is a slow learner but hes finally given the middle finger to tvnz weekly slot and interviews…. shoulda done that before tova owned him, shoulda done it fucking years ago
Check out who this sleeze ball is funding in NZ
https://x.com/GEHonesty/status/2047554139044073647?s=20
Clint Eastwood:
“I love when people call Trump Stupid..
You mean the multi-billionaire who kicked every Democrats butt, buried 16 career Republican politicians, and continues to make fools out of once reputable news organizations ..
You mean the guy who won the presidency?
You mean the guy with the super model wife?
You mean the guy whose words alone put a massive slow down on illegal border crossings?
You mean the guy whose mere presence made the stock market smash its previous records?
You mean the guy who created 1 million jobs in his first 7 months in office?
Are you sure you even know what it is you’re resisting?
Are you sure you back a party that enables the decimation of every core principal of Christianity?
Are you sure you back a party that voted 100% against the abolition of slavery?
Are you sure you really take a politician like Maxine Waters seriously?
Are you sure you don’t see anything wrong with someone who has a 40 yr career as a public servant living in a $4.5 mansion representing a district.
Im just here to increase the numbers. What.