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Putin Holds all the Cards

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2024 will bring Ukraine to the negotiating table – where Putin holds all the cards

 

In the spring of 2023 it was widely predicted that the Ukrainian armed forces, equipped with advanced Western technology, would push back the Russians, and that this would initiate a coup in Moscow to unseat Vladimir Putin. The bizarre episode involving the Wagner Group fuelled this belief. But where are we now? Putin is secure in his office and has put the Russian economy on a permanent war footing. Defence spending has risen to 6 per cent of GDP and is likely to rise to 29 per cent of total Russian government expenditure in 2024. The Russians are deeply entrenched in Ukraine and see no reason to extend their hold much further, since Putin is essentially sitting on what he wants, and wanted all along. Limited advances continue, true: on Christmas Day, the Russians appear to have captured Marinka in the eastern Donbas. Ukrainian assaults, by contrast, have all foundered with massive casualties.
By Lieutenant General Jonathon Riley

5 COMMENTS

  1. Ah see everyone has underestimated Zelenskyy as he’s got a cunning plan that’s going to allow him to fight on valiantly with a few hundred billion dollars more ,he’s going to conscript every women under 40 to go to the front lines and face the ferocious well trained Russians,
    It’s unbelievable that no one has thought of this before over the centuries ,he’s not only a great comedian and cross dresser he’s also one of historys greatest military strategists ,it may backfire though as Russian civilians rush recruitment offices in the hope of getting amongst all those beautiful Ukrainian female captives.
    The entire fcuking world has lost its collective minds.
    On another subject ,as we were coming up the harbour under the harbour bridge heading home this morning there was a racing power boat screaming up and down the harbour between the bridge and Kauri point, everyone on board agreed that it was probably doing around 150 / 160 kmph ,it went past us once about 50 metres away and was going so quick there was near zero wake .
    I reckon it was around 11metres long ,a catamaran with an enclosed F16 like canopy and 2 of the biggest outboards I’ve ever seen,impressive.

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  2. Beorn ,I wonder what’s happened to all those NZ armed forces missiles that were going to pass their use by date early in 24 ? maybe they’ve been given to the NZ police to deal with unruly conspiracy theorists in the future 🐷🐷

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